Tuesday, 7 September 2010

Gulf Bank to De-Emphasize Investments and Focus on Core Banking Business


Issa Abdul Salaam at Al Qabas quotes informed sources that Gulf Bank is exiting several funds and reducing its share in others during the rest of the year.

GB reportedly withdrew from one fund it had invested in the "past months" with a view to realizing profits in 3Q and 4Q this year and that it intends to exit from several foreign funds.

This represents a change in strategy from that approved by the previous board.  The new board's strategy calls for the bank to focus on its core (banking) business.

Three comments:
  1. Sticking to one's core competence is a sensible strategy.
  2. Many a change in strategy is motivated more by the need for cash than  long range planning.  The number of lines of business that suddenly become "non core"  are in direct proportion to the cashflow deficit.  Gulf Bank certainly has some serious challenges in its loan portfolio.
  3. When picking the "core" business to focus on, it's good to pick one that one has a future.  Whenever I read PR from some firm announcing that it  has made a strategic decision to focus on its core business, I wonder why it wasn't in the first place.  I also recall two business school cases.  In the first,  Pan American Airlines, the company divested itself of Intercontinental Hotels to focus on its airline franchise.  By contrast, in the second, Greyhound/Dial Corp, the dogs were (largely) sold.  One positive thing in this case, the core commercial banking business is a protected one in Kuwait.  And there's probably more of a long range future in commercial banking in Kuwait, if one can get credit underwriting right.

Monday, 6 September 2010

Global Investment House Hiring - Opportunity of a Lifetime


From one of our readers.

Hello there...

Love the blog, and thought you would find the following email rather amusing, someone I know received an email from Global Investment House, asking them if they'd be interested in joining? I've heard from others that they're madly hiring too, bet creditors are happy with that from a cashflow perspective...

Note, this person has ZERO financial experience, and had not shared their details with any recruiters for over 2 years. It is a blatant cold call!

The email is copied below (names removed)


Dear XXXX,

Good day and greetings.

We had come across your contact in our database, and here at Global Investment House we are looking to hire Kuwaiti professionals. If you are interested to have new opportunity please send me your update profile so we can take it further.


Looking forward to hear from you.



Best Regards,

XXXXXXX
Senior Officer - Recruitment
Human Resources & General Administration

E-mail:
Tel:
Fax:
P. O. Box:
Website:XXXX
(965) 22951
(965) 22951
28807 Safat, 13149 Kuwait
www.globalinv.net
This is what we in the developed West would call more evidence of the "War for Talent".

Damas Shareholders Meeting 30 September: Ernst and Young to Be Replaced by Deloitte Touche


Damas announced that it would hold its AGM/EGM on 30 September.

Among the agenda points are:
  1. a change in auditors from Ernst & Young to Deloitte and Touche
  2. formal election of the Board who were appointed in the wake of the resignation of the old Board as per the DFSA order.

Sunday, 5 September 2010

Abyaar Real Estate to Sign Debt Agreement After Eid

Al Watan reports that Abyaar is expected to sign a debt settlement agreement with a major firm after the Eid Holiday. 

The article notes that the company is focused on meeting its obligations as well as completing its real estate projects.  Noting that despite the difficulties in 2009, the Company was able to settle 20% of its liabilities.  While Al Watan doesn't mention it, I'd note that the paydown of the liabilities occurred in close proximity to the Company's successful share issue of some KD52 or so million in September 2009.  That of course was no mean feat given the state of markets.  And Abyaar also increased its capital in 2008 if I'm not mistaken.

The article also notes that Abyaar has just about completed a 40 storey tower in Dubai.  Also that the prudent provisions it has taken against its real estate portfolio will enhance earnings going forward, i.e., the carrying base of assets has been lowered so profit will be higher.  This is  of course just the temporal shifting of profits (or losses) from one accounting period to another and doesn't represent an overall gain in profit for the Company.

ARE started off as a JV between Aayan Leasing and Investment and the AlRashdan Group.   After listing, they each hold about 17% or so of the Company.  There aren't any other disclosed major shareholders.

ARE is listed on the KSE (Symbol 432) and trades at KD26 fils per share a substantial discount from its KD100 fils par value.

Noor Investment to Reschedule KD187 Million

Al Watan reports that Noor Investment Company is ready to sign a KD187 million restructuring with KFH, the lead bank.  

The rescheduling:
  1. Converts short term to medium term debt
  2. Carries an interest rate of 3.5% p.a. down from 5.5% - a savings of roughly KD4 million.  (I make it more like KD3.50 million the first year assuming that payments the first year are modest).
  3. Will be repaid from cash profits and not from asset sales
  4. Will commence with the first repayment in early 2011
As per Noor's 30 March 2010 financials (the latest posted on their or the KSE website), total bank debt was some KD184.5 million - with interest at 5.5%, the amount would be KD187 at 30 June.  Note that total bank debt appears in two places:  KD181 million shown in Note 11 and KD3.5 in Note 7.   All of the bank debt was due within one year.

Noor is owned 50.8% by National Industries Group.

Previous posts can be accessed using the tag "Noor Investment Company".

Public Prosecutor Stays Gulf Bank Case Against Derivatives Client

Citing parties close to the case, Al Qabas reports (or at least I think so) that the Public Prosecutor has stayed Gulf Bank's case against its client responsible for the derivatives debacle in 2008 (when GB lost some KD359.5 mm leading to the surgical removal of its board and elements of senior management along with the KIA taking a significant stake to top up the needed capital restoration).

I say I think so because I'm not quite sure that my translation of " النيابة العامة حفظت القضية المرفوعة من قبل بنك الخليج "  is correct.  Sadly, AA didn't graduate from KU's Faculty of Law.

Anyone out there who can confirm or correct my translation, please post.

Thursday, 2 September 2010

Threat to Capitalism Warning Notice: Expansion of Shareholder Rights

If you weren't scared by my earlier post, you w'll be by this one!

They say that courage is like a potato chip.  Try one and you're likely to be back for more.

After reading my earlier warning on the appearance of yet another manifest danger to the free market system, one of our readers has called my attention to an even greater danger.  And one frankly I had been avoiding mentioning.  But fortified with yesterday's "first chip" of courage, here I am today confronting another manifest imagined danger.

How much fear can one human bear?  I suppose with courage more than one initially thought.  If you're feeling brave, read on.

I know that many of you out there will be saying what could be a greater danger than more disclosure of CEO pay packages?  Socialists on motorcycles?  Disclosure of senior officers' expense reports?  You had how many "massages" in a single night at the Pen in Manila?  Just how many scotches do you have to drink to run up a $750 bar tab in five hours?  By the way what were you doing in a bar for five hours on a business trip?

No this time the danger is an expansion of shareholder rights.  And again we have the FT to thank for making us all aware of the stealth assaults on our way of life, though I would note  more in sadness  than malice that they did also give a forum to those who support the measure.   Fringe individuals and groups like two former SEC Chairmen, Calpers, self-appointed corporate governance experts.  So we may have to mark the FT down as a waverer in the fight to preserve our way of life. 
The proposed SEC rule on "proxy access" would allow shareholders to nominate up to a quarter of a company's board members. It would allow shareholders to nominate directors if they own 1 per cent to 5 per cent of stock, depending on the company's size, and amend a federal measure that allows management to exclude shareholder proposals that nominate directors.
Sounds simple.  And even good.  Who could argue with an expansion of democracy?  Of shareholders' rights?   
The rule under discussion is "probably the most flawed and unworkable proposal" the SEC has issued on proxy access, the US Chamber of Commerce, the business lobby group, wrote in its letter. Tom Quaadman, its executive director for capital markets, said yesterday that the group was keeping all of its options open, including a lawsuit against the SEC.

Wachtell, Lipton, a big Wall Street law firm, said the proposal would have "negative consequences" for US companies and competitiveness.
When a distinguished firm like Wachtell Lipton or the US Chamber of Commerce weigh in, you know you should listen seriously.  No doubt they're remembering just how well the boards of Citigroup, Lehman, Bear Stearns, Enron, and others - selected, I would remind you, without shareholder interference -  enhanced "competitiveness" to know that the system works just fine as it is.

TAQA Responds: No Merit to Peter Barker Homek Lawsuit

TAQA issued a press release on the Abu Dhabi Exchange this morning:
  1. No merit to Mr. Barker-Homek's lawsuit.
  2. The Company will respond through legal channels at the appropriate time.
  3. No impact on financial statements expected.
Earlier post here.

Kuwait Stock Exchange - Mushrif Pays Its Listing Fees Now There are Six Suspended Firms


The KSE has updated its list of companies suspended for failure to pay their 2010-2011 listing fees.  Mushrif Trading and Contracting has apparently paid.   So now this august group is six.  Earlier post here with the original list.  Mushrif was #5.

[10:13:37]  ِ.إيقاف شركات عن التداول لعدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي ‏
يعلن سوق الكويت للأوراق المالية بأنه تم إيقاف تداول الشركات
التالية لعدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي لعام 2010- 2011 ‏
اعتباراً من 1-09-2010:- ‏
ِ1- المجموعة الدولية للاستثمار ‏(المجموعة د)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ2- الشركة الخليجية الدولية للاستثمار ‏(غلف انفست)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ3- شركة لؤلؤة الكويت العقارية ‏(لؤلؤة)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ4- شركة الصفاة العالمية القابضة ‏(صفاة عالمي) (موقوفة) ‏
ِ5- شركة الابراج القابضة ‏(الابراج)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ6- شركة الشبكة القابضة ‏(الشبكة)(موقوفة) ‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .‏

Wednesday, 1 September 2010

Bahraini Regulatory Quiz: When Do Bahraini Banks Have to Publish Their 30 June Basel II Pillar 3 Disclosures?

As if there weren't enough excitement here at Suq Al Mal with compelling analyses of zakat payments, magical provisions, we're going to have a contest to liven things up a bit more.

My understanding was that locally incorporated banks in the Kingdom of Bahrain are required to publish their Basel II Pillar 3 disclosures concurrent with their 30 June financials.

But one firm noted for its unwavering verbal commitment to disclosure and transparency has yet to do so.  That obviously means that my understanding is wrong.

Hence, this competition.  

The first one to post the chapter and verse from the CBB's Rulebook will receive the grand prize --  a slightly worn "proven business model" formerly the property of a self-proclaimed world class "Islamic" investment bank.  Early responders may be eligible for a bonus prize - a half baked business plan for a US$4 billion energy city/financial and day care center.

Multiple entries are permitted.

Threat to Capitalism Warning Notice: Disclosure of Salary Metrics


I was just recovering from the warning that bicycle riding socialists were invading our great land to impose mandatory recycling, when a new danger to the free market system has apparently appeared on the horizon. 

It is the provision in the Dodd Frank financial "reform" legislation that requires financial firms to publish the ratio between their CEO's pay package and that of the average worker. 

It doesn't sound like much of a danger but it must be because I read it in the Financial Times where the article was placed prominently  on the first page.  Clearly a reflection of the seriousness of this mortal threat.  

It is I suppose human nature to avoid confronting the hard truth.  And AA is no exception.  Yesterday I said nothing.   But today in a rare display of personal courage, I've decided to post on this so that those of you out there who may have missed the warning, will be alerted.   I'm not sure what you or I can do to stop this pernicious danger to our very way of life.  How we might "Restore Honor to America".

Two quotes illustrate the danger.
The rules’ complexity means multinationals face a “logistical nightmare” in calculating the ratio, which has to be based on the median annual total compensation for all employees, warned Richard Susko, partner at law firm Cleary Gottlieb. “It’s just not do-able for a large company with tens of thousands of employees worldwide.”
It's hard to disagree, I suppose, with learned counsel Susko.  I mean after all there'd be the initial compliance puzzle of distinguishing among median, mean and mode.  Then the onerous data collection (no doubt by hand) of salary and compensation data which of course companies don't bother to keep as they don't need it to calculate pensions, raises, bonuses, payments to local social security schemes,  etc.  "Fred, would you mind bringing in your paystubs from last year?  You won't believe this but some pointy headed bureaucrat in Washington requires that we figure out what we're paying you!"  And what if it were a foreign employee, a Jacque in Paris, a Sanjay in Mumbai, how on earth can banks be expected to figure out what a Euro or Rupee is worth in good old American money?

But beyond that there would be the number crunching.  And if one thing is crystal clear, it's that banks have a real devil of a time working with numbers.   Imagine the difficulty this calculation poses in contrast to more pedestrian things such as valuing Level III assets, determining VaR, running Monte Carlo simulations to mark to market trading positions in exotic instruments, running credit portfolio risk models, keeping track of all those credit card transactions for  their millions of customers, etc.   

When you reflect on all of the above, you'll understand why financial firms are just not equipped to do this sort of thing.  And why imposing it on them is not only unfair but another step on the road to serfdom!

And
“We’re not debating the concept of disclosure – we think it’s a good thing,” said Larry Burton, executive director of the Business Roundtable, which represents chief executives of the biggest US companies. “But you can do more harm than good if you take a well-intended piece of policy and implement it badly. That’s the risk here.”
Another eminently sensible position.  Of course, we agree with the concept of disclosure.  Where we part company is on actually implementing the principle.  In an earlier time, I suppose the refrain was:  "Of course, we hold that all men are created equal.  But just don't ask us to free our slaves.  It would lead to all sorts of harm." 

As would disclosing this data.  First, there would be dissension within firms.  The old collegial spirit of the group broken down.  Then imagine what might happen if shareholders used a metric like this to  determine the value added by the Chairman or CEO.   One hopes that the more enlightened members of our legislative branch are already working to eliminate not just this foolish idea but any disclosure of senior officer compensation.  Or if not now, maybe in November.

Haven't banks and bank CEOs suffered enough unjustified persecution?

BIS Releases Triennial Central Bank Survey on FX and OTC Derivatives Markets


The BIS released its Triennial Central Bank Survey of Foreign Exchange and OTC Derivatives Market Activity.  Use the links at the upper right of the press release page to access the full report.  The links at the bottom of the page are to individual country reports released by individual country central banks.

Here are some headlines from the BIS press release.

1. Turnover on the Global foreign exchange market

  • Global foreign exchange market turnover was 20% higher in April 2010 than in April  2007, with average daily turnover of $4.0 trillion compared to $3.3 trillion. 
  • The increase was driven by the 48% growth in turnover of spot transactions, which represent 37% of foreign exchange market turnover. Spot turnover rose to $1.5 trillion in April 2010 from $1.0 trillion in April 2007.
  • The increase in turnover of other foreign exchange instruments was more modest at 7%, with average daily turnover of $2.5 trillion in April 2010. Turnover in outright forwards and currency swaps grew strongly. Turnover in foreign exchange swaps was flat relative to the previous survey, while trading in currency options decreased.
  • As regards counterparties, the higher global foreign exchange market turnover is associated with the increased trading activity of "other financial institutions" - a category that includes non-reporting banks, hedge funds, pension funds, mutual funds, insurance companies and central banks, among others. Turnover by this category grew by 42%, increasing to $1.9 trillion in April 2010 from $1.3 trillion in April 2007. For the first time, activity of reporting dealers with other financial institutions surpassed inter-dealer transactions (ie transactions between reporting dealers).
  • Foreign exchange market activity became more global, with cross-border transactions representing 65% of trading activity in April 2010, while local transactions account for 35%.
  • The percentage share of the US dollar has continued its slow decline witnessed since the April 2001 survey, while the euro and the Japanese yen gained relative to April 2007. Among the 10 most actively traded currencies, the Australian and Canadian dollars both increased market share, while the pound sterling and the Swiss franc lost ground. The market share of emerging market currencies increased, with the biggest gains for the Turkish lira and the Korean won.
  • The relative ranking of foreign exchange trading centres has changed slightly from the previous survey. Banks located in the United Kingdom accounted for 36.7%, against 34.6% in 2007, of all foreign exchange market turnover, followed by the United States (18%), Japan (6%), Singapore (5%), Switzerland (5%), Hong Kong SAR (5%) and Australia (4%).

2. Turnover in OTC interest rate derivatives

  • Activity in OTC interest rate derivatives grew by 24%, with average daily turnover of $2.1 trillion in April 2010. Almost all of the increase relative to the last survey was due to the growth of forward rate agreements (FRAs), which increased by 132% to reach $601 billion.
More detailed results on developments in the foreign exchange and OTC derivatives markets and comprehensive explanatory notes describing the coverage of and terms used to present the statistics are included in the separate statistical release of the data. Explanatory notes follow statistical tables.  The BIS plans to publish, in November 2010, the detailed results of the activity in April 2010 and of the positions at end June 2010 on FX instruments. A specific press release will also be published in November on the global OTC positions at end June 2010. In addition, special features will be devoted to the Survey in the December 2010 BIS Quarterly Review.

Kuwait Stock Exchange Suspends 5 Additional Companies for Failure to Pay Listing Fees


The KSE announced that it had suspended seven companies from trading due to failure to pay 2010-2011 listing fees.  Two of the companies, Shabka and Safat Global, were already suspended for failure to pay the previous year's listing fee.

While financial distress is not the only reason why a Company might not pay the fee, it's a pretty safe bet that most of the companies on the list did not pay for that reason.  Six of them  them have already been suspended for failure to provide financial reports.  Some for quite extended periods.  For those previously suspended, I've highlighted the word  "موقوفة " in blue.

The companies are (listed in the same order as the Arabic):
  1. International Investment Group
  2. Gulf Invest  aka Gulfinvest International
  3. Pearl (Lu'lu) Real Estate
  4. Safat Global
  5. Mushrif Trading and Contracting (the only company on the list not suspended for failure to provide financials)
  6. Al-Abraj Holding
  7. Shabka Holding
 
[10:26:55]  ِ.إيقاف شركات عن التداول لعدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي ‏
يعلن سوق الكويت للأوراق المالية بأنه تم إيقاف تداول الشركات
التالية لعدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي لعام 2010- 2011 ‏
اعتباراً من اليوم 1-09-2010:- ‏
ِ1- المجموعة الدولية للاستثمار ‏(المجموعة د)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ2- الشركة الخليجية الدولية للاستثمار ‏(غلف انفست)(موقوفة) 
ِ3- شركة لؤلؤة الكويت العقارية ‏(لؤلؤة)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ4- شركة الصفاة العالمية القابضة ‏(صفاة عالمي) (موقوفة) ‏
ِ5- شركة مشرف للتجارة والمقاولات ‏(مشرف) ‏
ِ6- شركة الابراج القابضة ‏(الابراج)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ7- شركة الشبكة القابضة ‏(الشبكة)(موقوفة) ‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .‏

Gulf Investment House - Debt Problems Largely Solved: Only US$7 Million of Foreign Debt Left KD45 Million Rescheduled by KFH


In an exclusive interview, AlWatan quotes GIH's CEO, Badr Abdullah Al-Ali, saying that: 
  1. GIH has repaid all by US$7 million of its foreign debt.  The remaining amount is due in November and GIH may prepay given its strong financial condition.
  2. The Company has been successful in rescheduling KD45 million with KFH (who own about 30.72% of GIH's shares) over five years.  No doubt KFH's shareholding interest was a major  positive factor in achieving the rescheduling agreement.  This amount is substantially all of the non foreign debt of the Company - whose total bank debt as of 30 June 2010 was KD56.8 million.  It's unclear at that point just how much foreign debt remained. In May if I remember they were reported to have KD13 million of foreign debt.
With respect to 2010 financial performance, GIH reported 1H10 losses of KD1.9 million roughly half of 1H09's KD3.8 million, though it should be noted that for the full year of 2009, GIH's losses were KD20.5 million. 

KFH's support provides a nice safety net for GIH's future which Mr. Al-Ali sees as bright.

Aref Investment Company - 1H10 Losses of KD21.4 Million


Aref Investment Group reported its 1H10 financial results on the KSE this morning.  As usual, the announcement is in Arabic only (text below).  With the provision of this report, the KSE will allow the resumption of trading of AIG's shares.

1H10 losses KD21.4 million versus KD38million for the comparable period the year before.  The KD206 million amount for shareholders' equity includes minority interests of some KD37 or so million.

As I've noted before KFH owns some 53% of AIG and is providing support to weather the current crisis.  Earlier posts can be accessed using the tag "Aref".

[10:27:46]  بلغت (خسارة)(عارف) (21.4) مليون د.ك لل6 أشهر المنتهية في 30-06-2010‏
يعلن سوق الكويت للأوراق المالية أن شركة عارف الاستثمارية (عارف)‏
حصلت على موافقة بنك الكويت المركزي على بياناتها المالية المرحلية للفترة ‏
المنتهية في 30-06-2010، يوم الاثنين الموافق 30-08-2010 ،
وفقا لما يلي:‏
البند     ال3 أشهر المنتهية في 30-06-10     ال6 أشهر المنتهية في 30-06-10‏
الربح (خسارة)(د.ك)             (16.954.474)            (21.418.959) ‏
ربحية(خسارة)السهم (فلس كويتي)     (16)                         (20) ‏
اجمالي الموجودات المتداولة                                   299.743.103‏
اجمالي الموجودات                                            661.056.688‏
اجمالي المطلوبات المتداولة                                   392.279.750‏
اجمالي المطلوبات                                             452.963.950‏
ِ اجمالي حقوق المساهمين                                     208.092.738‏
بلغ اجمالي الايرادات من التعاملات مع الاطراف ذات الصلة مبلغ 680.466 د.ك
بلغ اجمالي المصروفات من التعاملات مع الاطراف ذات الصلة مبلغ 7.859.169 د.ك
الفترات المقارنة:‏
البند     ال3 أشهر المنتهية في 30-06-09     ال6 أشهر المنتهية في 30-06-09‏
الربح (خسارة)(د.ك)            (20.470.712)           (38.020.436)‏
ربحية(خسارة)السهم (فلس كويتي)     (19)                       (36)‏
اجمالي الموجودات المتداولة                                  311.066.999‏
اجمالي الموجودات                                           657.443.445‏
اجمالي المطلوبات المتداولة                                  333.757.640‏
اجمالي المطلوبات                                            450.767.484‏
ِ اجمالي حقوق المساهمين                                    206.675.961‏
وعليه سوف تعاد الشركة الى التداول اليون الثلاثاء الموافق 31-08-2010‏ 

Tuesday, 31 August 2010

The Price of Honor: Opening Bid US$430 Million


The National carries the story of Mr. Peter Barker-Homek, once CEO of Taqa, now dismissed and in court in Michigan to assuage the insult to his honor with a US$460 million lawsuit in the State of Michigan. Of which US$430 million is for pain, suffering, reputational damage, etc.

 In case you're wondering his claim is for approximately 21% of the Company's net worth at 30 June 2010 (excluding minority interests and shareholder/government loans).   Or 2.11 x the net income for the first six months of 2010.

The Investment Dar and Commercial Bank of Kuwait - Settlement of Boubyan Bank Shares

Quoting informed banking sources, AlQabas reports that Commercial Bank of Kuwait has proposed to TID that the BB shares be sold and that any amount remaining after the settlement of TID's obligations to  CBK will then be remitted to TID.

In effect then, CBK is proposing to treat the transaction as a secured loan rather than a failed repurchase agreement.  Under the latter, CBK would be entitled to absolute ownership of the shares with no payment at all to TID.

Clearly, CBK doesn't want to enter into the rescheduling as one of the creditors and share the BB shares (very good collateral) with the entire set of creditors in return for "security" in the pool of what Adnan Al Musallam has more than once described as "strong" assets (which are probably less "strong" and certainly less liquid than Boubyan's shares). 

There is a reason why some creditors lend on a secured basis as opposed to an unsecured one.   They get to pick the collateral that gives them the credit comfort they need to extend the loan.  And know that if the borrower doesn't pay, they have a second way out that doesn't involve a rescheduling.

The proposal seems an eminently reasonable solution.  

As the parties have haggled over this problem, they lost a chance to conclude a quick sale with a willing buyer with deep pockets (National Bank of Kuwait).   Perhaps, the Central Bank can be persuaded to allow NBK to buy another 19.196%.  The share price is an attractive KD0.560.

Monday, 30 August 2010

Aayan Leasing and Investment - 1Q10 Loss of KD7.8 Million


ALI announced its 1Q10 earnings today on the KSE.  As usual only Arabic text  (below) is available. The Central Bank of Kuwait approved release of the financials on 16 August.  There was no explanation for the delay.  Based on "history", I'm guessing that as with the Company's 2009 financials, the delay has been occasioned by the KSE's more than usual scrutiny.

The headline number is a loss of KD7.8 million for the first quarter compared to a loss of KD12.5 for the period the year earlier.  Shareholders' equity is KD23.6 million versus KD89.1 million at 1Q09.  Equity was KD31.2 million at 31 December 2009. 

As you might expect, the auditors have raised a matter of emphasis about the Company's ability to continue as a going concern.  Current Liabilities (KD410 million) exceed Current Assets (KD166 million).  Accumulated losses are KD75 million.  

That last comment has got me scratching my head.  On 10 August ALI held its OGM/EGM in which shareholders agreed to use Reserves of KD37.8 million plus reduce the paid in capital to KD29.6 million (from KD63.9 million) to offset accumulated losses.  They also agreed to a KD10 million capital increase by way of a rights offer at par (KD0.100 per share).  So is it that the legal steps to accomplish this have yet to be finalized?  If so, isn't this fact worth noting?  That is, that the Company is taking steps to rectify the situation. Otherwise readers might infer there is an ongoing unaddressed  violation of Article 171 of the Commercial Companies Law.

The auditors also mention ALI's default on some KD100 million of debt.  In the August 10 OGM/EGM Ali "T" AlGhanem, the Company's Chairman, predicted the signing of a rescheduling agreement within two to three weeks.   KFH is the lead bank on the rescheduling negotiations.

A difficult situation. 


[13:38:23]  بلغت (خسارة) (أعيان) (7.7) مليون د.ك لل3 أشهر المنتهية في 31-03-2010‏
يعلن سوق الكويت للأوراق المالية أن شركة أعيان للاجارة و الاستثمار (اعيان)‏
حصلت على موافقة بنك الكويت المركزي على بياناتها المالية المرحلية للفترة ‏
المنتهية في 31-03-2010، يوم الاثنين الموافق 16-08-2010 ،
وفقا لما يلي:‏
البند       ال3 أشهر المنتهية في 31-03-10     ال3 أشهر المنتهية في 31-03-09
الربح (خسارة)(د.ك)               (7.785.523)              (12.553.455)‏
ربحية(خسارة)السهم (فلس كويتي)   (12.6)                    (20.6)‏
اجمالي الموجودات المتداولة      165.971.276             248.207.741‏
اجمالي الموجودات               510.637.020           595.882.901‏
اجمالي المطلوبات المتداولة      410.252.612             351.840.048‏
اجمالي المطلوبات               441.957.164             458.057.552‏
ِ اجمالي حقوق المساهمين        23.643.193              89.142.376‏
بلغ اجمالي الايرادات من التعاملات مع الاطراف ذات الصلة مبلغ 66.680 د.ك
بلغ اجمالي المصروفات من التعاملات مع الاطراف ذات الصلة مبلغ 1.303.522 د.ك
علما بان تقرير مراقبي الحسابات يحتوي على عدم التأكد المتعلق بالاستمرار
على اساس مبدأ الاستمراريه :‏
دون التحفظ في نتيجتنا ، نلفت الانتباه الى الايضاح 2 حول المعلومات الماليه
المرحليه المكثفة المجمعه و الذي يبين ان المجموعه تكبدت خسائر بمبلغ ‏
ِ8.042.649 د.ك لفتره الثلاثة اشهر المنتهيه في 31-مارس-2010 ، و كان لدي ‏
المجموعه خسائر متراكمه بمبلغ 75.175.026 د.ك ، وكما في ذلك التاريخ تجاوزت ‏
المطلوبات المتداوله للمجموعه موجوداتها المتداوله بمبلغ 225.830.362 د.ك
اضافة الى ذلك ، عجزت الشركة الام عن سداد التزامات دين بمبلغ 99.993.871د.ك
و علقت دفعات سداد المبالغ الاساسيه لالتزامات الدين الى البنوك و المؤسسات ‏
الماليه ، و هي تعمل بفاعليه مع الممولين لاعادة جدولة التزامات ديونها ‏
بالكامل ، ان هذه الظروف مع الامور الاخرى المبينه في ايضاح 2 تشير الى وجود
عدم تأكيد مادي مما يمكن ان يثير شك كبير حول قدرة المجموعه على الاستمرار ‏
في اعمالها على اساس مبدأ الاستمراريه .‏

 

Kuwait Stock Exchange: 11 Companies Warned to Pay 2010-2011 Listing Fees


The Kuwait Stock Exchange published a list of 11 companies who have not yet paid their 2010-2011 listing fees, warning that 31 August is the last day for the payment of such fees.   Failure to pay results in suspension of trading.  Presumably, most of these firms will pay the fees.

As you will notice from the list below, seven of the companies have already been suspended (for failure to provide financials within the required period).  I've indicated those already suspended by highlighting that word in blue.  These include The Investment Dar (number #2 on the list).

The four unsuspended companies are in order:  National International Holding Company (#4),  AlDar National Real Estate ADNAK (#6) , Abbar (#8), and Mushrif Trading and Contracting (#9).

For 2009-2010, only two companies, Shabka and Safat Global were suspended for failure to pay listing fees.  They're indicated in red.

[13:31:26]  ِ.إيقاف شركات عن التداول في حالة عدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي ‏
يعلن سوق الكويت للأوراق المالية بأنه سوف يتم إيقاف تداول الشركات
التالية في حالة عدم تسديد رسوم الاشتراك السنوي لعام 2010- 2011 ‏
اعتباراً من 1-09-2010:- ‏
ِ1- المجموعة الدولية للاستثمار ‏(المجموعة د)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ2- شركة دار الاستثمار ‏(الدار) (موقوفة) ‏
ِ3- الشركة الخليجية الدولية للاستثمار ‏(غلف انفست)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ4- الشركة الوطنية الدولية القابضة ‏(وطنية د ق) ‏
ِ5- شركة لؤلؤة الكويت العقارية ‏(لؤلؤة)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ6- شركة الدار الوطنية للعقارات ‏(ادنك) ‏
ِ7- شركة الصفاة العالمية القابضة ‏(صفاة عالمي(موقوفة) ‏
ِ8- شركة برقان لحفر الابار والتجارة والصيانة ‏(ابار) ‏
ِ9- شركة مشرف للتجارة والمقاولات ‏(مشرف) ‏
ِ10- شركة الابراج القابضة ‏(الابراج)(موقوفة) ‏
ِ11- شركة الشبكة القابضة ‏(الشبكة)(موقوفة) ‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .‏
علما بان اخر موعد للسداد هو 31-08-2010 .

Sunday, 29 August 2010

DEPA 1H10 Loss: The AED185 Million Burj Al Khalifah Claim


If you've seen DEPA's 1H10 financials, you know they declared a loss of some AED117.5 million of which AED103.7 million is attributable to the shareholders of DEPA.  The firm bills itself as the third largest interior contractor in the world.

You've also seen their earnings press release that this loss relates to expenses incurred on a contract at Burj al Khalifah (but not with Emaar the project developer).  Apparently, a large portion is for overhead expenses incurred over a couple of years.  As per the press release, were the claim paid, DEPA's 1H10 results would have been a net profit of AED81 million, making the size of the claim AED185 million.

That seems a rather large amount.  Unclear what this represents as a percentage of total project cost.  And what the likelihood of getting the full amount is.  As well as the identity of the project owner (obligor).

Perhaps, The Real Nick can weigh in with an observation.  And certainly anyone else out there with something to contribute is welcome as well.

The Investment Dar - The Zakat Issue

As is often the case, our readers contribute greatly to the posts here, providing additional information and correcting my mistakes.

Such is the case with two recent posts on TID and Zakat.  The first here.  The second here.  And at the latter you'll find the reader's comments that sparked this post.

Let's start by going over the history.

In the first, I relayed a comment in Al Qabas that the Creditors' Coordinating Committee had been surprised by TID advising them that some KD12 to 15 million of Zakat was unpaid.

In the second, I got into a discussion with one of our readers, who prefers to remain Anonymous, about whether there was a delay in payment of Zakat by TID.  He directed me to a source that I should have reviewed before uncritically repeating what Al Qabas had said in its article:  TID's financial statements. 

Like reading one's computer hardware and software manual before proceeding, it really does pay to read the financials.  (And this exchange has occasioned a new "label" or "tag" - "RTF" - shorthand for Read the Financials).

So there are three issues here:
  1. Did TID "surprise" its creditors by recently informing them of pre-existing liability it had not disclosed before?
  2. Has TID delayed payment of Zakat?
  3. And related to the above two topics, how is TID calculating its Zakat obligation?
On the first question, a quick glance at TID's 2008 audited financials Note #15 shows that TID has disclosed its unpaid Zakat obligation.  KD11.4 million of Zakat is shown as part of the balance of Payables for FYE 2008.  Comparable balances disclosed earlier were KD5.5 million at FYE 2007 and KD1.3 million at FYE 2006.  So no surprise to those who RTF. 

As a side note, if you look carefully at the Consolidated Statement of Changes in Equity, you'll notice that TID's Zakat appropriations from Reserves are a year in arrears.  That is,  the appropriation in 2008 was actually for Fiscal Year 2007.  So, it's likely that there is a Zakat amount due for 2008 to be reflected in 2009's annual report and for 2009 to be reflected in 2010's annual report. Again careful readers of TID's financials will not be surprised that these obligations are there.  What will be the unknown is their amounts.

It may sound surprising that after reporting a major loss in 2008, TID would be subject to any Zakat at all for that year.

So let's turn to how TID calculates Zakat.  There are two ways:
  1. A statutory obligation as per Law 46 of 2006.
  2. Its adherence to Shari'ah. 
As per Law 46 of 2006 (English here and Arabic here), all companies in Kuwait (except government entities) are required to pay 1%  of income to the Ministry of Finance as Zakat.

And we learn from Note 38 to the 2007 financials:
During the year ended 31 December 2007, the executive regulations of Zakat has been issued and which stipulates that, each Kuwaiti shareholding company should deduct 1% of its net profit as Zakat and should be forwarded to Ministry of Finance. The amount of Zakat expense has been calculated on the basis of the Group’s profit multiplied by the number of days starting from the date of issuing the executive regulations  on 9 December 2007 to 31 December 2007.
What this means is that TID is complying strictly with its statutory obligations.  The Law came into force on 9 December and so its 2007 income subject to statutory Zakat is  only 22 days out of the year.  Because there was a loss in 2008, no statutory Zakat is due for that year.

Beyond its legal obligation, since Fiscal Year 2005, TID has been computing Zakat as follows (Note # 2.17):
Based on the recommendation of the Sharia’a Supervisory Board, the Group started to calculate Zakat based on Wea’a Al-Zakat which consists of assets and liabilities that are subject to Zakat. Zakat is deducted from the voluntary reserve.
Note 3.18 in the 2008 audited financials confirms that the Company is still calculating Zakat on this basis - which means there is likely to be a provision for 2008 despite the loss that year because this Zakat is calculated based on assets and liabilities - which while diminished are still there.  To complete the story, prior to 2005, TID computed Zakat on the basis of its adjusted Equity.

TID only recognizes the statutory Zakat (Law 46/2006) amount as an expense in its financials.   The  Wea'a Zakat amount is directly charged against Reserves.  Therefore, this amount does not appear as an expense on TID's income statement.  I presume that TID adjusts this Wea'a Zakat amount for the statutory amount so it doesn't "double pay" Zakat.

As per Note 16 in the 2007 audited report  you'll notice that the statutory amount is a relatively small KD78,874  - less than 1.9% of the net KD4.2 million that TID added that year to accrued Zakat. 

I'm making the presumption here that since the Wea'a Zakat amount is voluntary, there is not necessarily a deadline for its distribution.  Nor are the amounts required to be paid to the Government or another third party.  That means that the Company has discretion to whom and when to distribute.   Technically then TID would not violated any requirement for payment.  Strictly speaking, it would not be "late".

Though if I'm wrong on this latter point, I hope someone will post and correct me.

But let's look a bit deeper at the accumulation of unpaid Zakat obligations by looking at two tables.

The first is an attempt to derive the cash payments of Zakat that TID actually made during the period 2005 through 2008.   Amounts are in thousands of KDs.

Year Open Bal Additions Close Bal Payments 
2005         2.7   1,096.9     320.5    779.1
2006    320.5   2,848.3   1,342.0 1,826.8
2007 1,342.0   5,746.4   5,541.31,547.1
2008 5,541.3   6,734.7 11,373.8   902.2
TOTAL16,426.3 5,055.2 

Notes:
  1. Derived Payments = Open Balance + Additions - Ending Balance.
  2. Opening and Ending Balances are from the Payables Notes in TID's Annual Reports for the period.
  3. Additions are per the Consolodiated Statement of Changes in Equity.  You will notice that for a couple of fiscal years there is an increment to Zakat from TID's subsidiaries which appears as a separate entry to Retained Earnings.  The Zakat additions for TID are charged to Reserves.  I have used both in my calculations for Additions.
  4. 2007 Additions in the table above includes KD78,874 of Statutory Zakat as there was no adjustment to net income for that year to back it out.
Now let's take a look at Zakat payments per year as a percent of Opening Balance and Additions during the year.

Year Percent 
2005 71% 
2006 58% 
2007 22% 
2008 7% 

Clearly, there is a sharp decline in amounts disbursed in 2007 well before the crisis started.  And the overall distributions during this period are some 30.8% of the Zakat accrued.

Perhaps, the cause is having to deal with larger amounts and the need to thoroughly vet a recipient before  disbursing funds.   Or, perhaps, it is a cash management issue.

If the timing of distributions is purely discretionary, then I wonder if the lenders can insist that Zakat distributions be stopped or greatly limited until they are repaid?

Saturday, 28 August 2010

A Tale of Two Headlines: Arabic Knowledge at Wharton Jeff Silver Interview

Arabic Knowledge at the Wharton School of Business at the University of Pennsylvania recently published an article with Jeff Singer, CEO of Nasdaq Dubai.  They don't just teach finance at Penn, but market segmentation as well.

Here's a link to the Arabic version and the English version  Presumably the first is targeted at Arabs and the second at non Arab English language speakers.

The Arabic headline is "International investors are not looking to own most of the shares in the region".

The English "Now is the perfect time for exchange consolidation".

An insight into the assumed different focus of each group.

Wharton also publishes Knowledge@Wharton which befitting a great university like Penn often has  interesting articles.

The Investment Dar - Al-Musallam Denies Problems


This Thursday (26 August) TID held its 2008 shareholders' annual meeting (delayed because of the delay in finalizing its financials).   Both AlQabas and AlWatan have accounts of that meeting.  Some 73.11% of shareholders' interests were represented.  As per the KSE, the only disclosed major shareholders of TID are the Kuwaiti General Organization for Social Insurance (7.7%) and Efad Real Estate Company and associated companies (18.21%).  So there appears to have been broad shareholder participation.

AlQabas notes that the meeting was held in an atmosphere of "impressive calmness".   All items on the agenda were approved, including agreement with the Board's recommendation that no dividend be declared for 2008. (TID reported a net loss of  KD80.3 million for 2008 of which KD78.6 million is attributable to TID shareholders.  From 2007 to 2008 TID's total shareholders' equity declined from KD349.6 millionn to KD168.5 million due to KD52.9 million of 2007 dividends, KD 37.4 million of losses recorded directly in equity and net purchases of treasury shares of some KD12.2 million.)

The tenor and results of the meeting no doubt a clear reflection of shareholders' confidence in Mr. Al-Musallam's stewardship and performance.

Mr. Al-Musallam also took the opportunity to "set the record straight" on several points, including most of the assertions in a recent AlQabas article:
  1. As he has on several earlier occasions, he noted that statements that TID was going to be liquidated were not true pointing out the strength of TID's assets.
  2. The CCC is not discussing resigning.
  3. In that connection he commented that TID is happy to have the Central Bank of Kuwait's supervisor, Dr. Abid AlThafiri, stay on, but that decision is solely the CBK's.
  4. There are no differences with the CBK.  The CBK poses questions and TID answers them.
  5. More than 83% of the creditors have agreed to participate in the rescheduling.  The remaining 17% represent only KD110 million.
  6. He expects to achieve success with Commercial Bank of Kuwait and Cham Islamic Bank (Syria)  and then will have 89% agreement.
  7. He's optimistic about obtaining the Central Bank of Kuwait's approval for TID to enter under the protection of the FSL.  
  8. He noted that many of the creditors who have indicated they intend to pursue legal claims (the 17% soon to be 11%) were waiting to see the results of the current stage (presumably whether TID gets under the FSL) before proceeding.  The unspoken point here being that if TID enters the FSL, then perhaps some or all of these holdouts may join the rescheduling.  Not an unreasonable assumption.
  9. Contrary to rumors, there is no raise for any senior member of TID's management.  Apparently, not even an "unrealized" one! 
  10. TID is not late with its prior year's zakat.  Though the wording used here seems to imply that perhaps the committee has not yet distributed it - which would qualify as being "late" for a simple minded guy like me.  وأكد المسلم أنه لا يوجد تأخير في دفع الزكاة عن الشركة، مستشهداً برأي لجنة الفتوى والتشريع التي أكدت على ان الشركة لم تتأخر ولكن هذه الزكاة تعود الى السنوات الماضية، منوهاً الى ان اللجنة تقوم باخراج الزكاة من وقت الى آخر حسب الحالات التي تقوم بدراستها من وقت الى أخرى
  11. Perhaps, the answer is that "class is not yet over" and the studies continue?  Anyone who can confirm or amend my translation, please jump in with a post.
  12. He did take the time to point out that the 2008 loss (largely due to provisions of KD89.5 million) was not realized.  
  13. Asked about 2009's financials and the CBK's requirements for additional provisions, he declined to answer, commenting that the Company respected its regulator's (the CBK's) views, would have the auditors review them. But in the final analysis will do what the CBK requires.
  14. One other important "bit" he stated that the Company had appointed new auditors (dual case used).  In 2008 TID used the local incarnations of Deloitte and Touche and KPMG.  
  15. The Ministry of Commerce and Industry raised comments during the meeting that the Board did not meet during 2008 (I take this to mean regarding 2008 financial performance not that there were no board meetings that year) and that TID failed to properly register its shares in Bahrain Islamic Bank,.  These shares (8.7% of BIsB) were acquired by TID in satisfaction of a financing receivable and are discussed in Note #8 to its 2008 financials. Mr. Al-Musallam said that the Board did not meet because the financials were not approved (presumably he's referring to the auditors and CBK).  The BIsB shares are in the process of being registered.
A new Board was elected as follows:
  1. Adnan Abdul Qadir Mohammed Al Musallam, Chairman and MD
  2. Rajam Al Roumi
  3. Ghanem Al Ghanem
  4. Adel Behbehani
  5. Adnan Nisif
  6. Musa'id AlMukhaytar
  7. Nabil Abdul Rahim
And "reserve" directors (in case of need for a replacement of a sitting director):  Nabil Amin, and Abdul Muhsin Al Kandari.

Hopefully, this impressive performance (there's that word again) will silence the unfounded criticism of TID in the market, leaving only the founded sort.

Wednesday, 25 August 2010

Dubai World: No Assets Ring Fenced From Sale


Reuters has published an exclusive report that they have a document circulated among DW's creditors which states that:
  1. Total DW debt is some US$39.9 billion instead of the mid US$20 billions.
  2. Though there is an apparent US$11 billion non recourse debt at Istithmar subsidiaries and US$2 billion at Infinity.  These amounts are important because they will affect the net proceeds from the sales of those assets.  Debt at the subsidiaries will have to be either assumed by the buyers or repaid by the seller (Istithmar).  
  3. DW warned that if it sold its assets quickly it could only raise US$10.4 billion.  It's a safe bet that DW is being conservative as it doesn't want to give the lenders incentive to push for a quick sale.
  4. Rather it needs 5 to 8 years to realize the assets at higher prices - the midpoint of which is US$17.6 billion.  The highpoint of which is US$19.4 billion.
  5. Heretofore strategic and ring fenced assets are now on the table:  DP, JAFZA, Barneys, Atlantis Hotel, etc.   Though one might question whether this is more a negotiating tactic.  It's hard to imagine the Emirate parting with these assets.  So the hope may be that a recovery in markets will lead to higher values recognized on other assets.  Or that bankers' and investors' ADD will kick in and Dubai World will be able to refinance after five or so years.  Either case obviating the need to part with the "crown jewels".  And, thus, any sale would be an absolute last resort.
  6. In an attempt to get banks to sign on to the rescheduling, DW is offering a signing bonus / consent fee.
Quite a remarkable turnaround.

But with roughly US$40 billion worth of debt and US$20 billion from asset sales, there is quite a "financing gap" to fill.  Even more so, when one considers the fact that as the prize assets are sold, DW's right to their earnings and cashflow will end as well.  Is the gap to be funded by the Emirate?  If so, quite an expensive admission ticket to a relatively short ride on the "leveraged assets express".

Anyone out there who would like to share any creditor documents with me can contact me using the Contact Form.