Earlier this month AlQabas published a lengthy summary of a recent report by AlJoman Center for Economic Consultancy. Here's the full report from AlJoman's website.
You'll notice that AlQ has reordered the topics. We'll work with AlQ's order in this post.
The article is a blistering attack on market manipulation and regulatory failures.
- Al Joman says that there are about 15 main "investment blocs" that each control from 2 to more than 10 companies that are active in the KSE. According to its analysis only a very few of them engage in professional or responsible behavior.
- Three of the groups have fallen and AlJ expects at least one other to this year.
- The first group mentioned is the Abraj Bloc (Abraj Holdings, Shabka Holdings, and International Leasing and Investment).
- The second is the Ahlia Bloc (AlAhlia Holding Company and Gulf Invest).
- The third the International Group Bloc (PetroGulf, Grand, Investors Bank, Usul, and International Investment Group.)
- It then turns to a discussion of large and unjustified losses to the shareholders of the companies comprising these groups - which it notes shake confidence in the KSE as well as harm its foreign reputation stating that they consider that removing these distressed companies from the list of traded companies (presumably an expulsion from the KSE) would be considered a positive step. even if only partially (meaning this step by itself is not sufficient). And that it is possible to lighten the harm caused shareholders and the economy by removing these long notorious companies instead of having let them continue to exhausting shareholder money for a long time and in a clear open fashion visible to all. Clear responsibility for this state of affairs is laid upon the management of the KSE.
I've sort of given away the plot here. The original research report by Al Joman begins "innocently" enough with a discussion of the decline in KSE trading in April compared to May. After presenting some comparative statistics, AlJ begins to describe the reasons. The first hint is the comment that negligent traders have discovered there are more paper companies and so have become more selective in trading. Turning to its list of factors, the first item is the lessening of manufactured or imaginary trades or trades agreed beforehand. Which have come to everyone's attention through increased complaints. The impact of the new capital market law which criminalizes these wrong practices. The second is exceptional "feverish" trading in transport or logistic company as shares as part of an organized propaganda and scheduled effort to to spread rumors. Manipulated volumes and prices.
Not too far into the report and it's pretty clear that this is not your normal market analysis.
It only gets better. Comments on those responsible for cheating numerous innocent traders. Management from the companies themselves, media circulating lies - print, satellite television, internet sites (heavens an attack on bloggers!). Than an absolutely blistering attack on the KSE.
Some discussion of the Commercial Bank of Kuwait 11 April Board meeting and the responsibility of directors under the title "Commissioning Not Entitling" (my loose translation). Calling for independent investigations of board conduct at troubled companies to find out the real reasons for losses and the decline in asset values along with steps to recover funds if board members are guilty of wrongdoing.
The end of the article deals with a review of 2009 earnings predictions by 4 newspapers in Kuwait along with AlJoman's. And some comments that so far (not all firms have reported results yet!) net income for the two year period 2008-2009 is approximately zero.
An interesting factoid - as of the date of AlJ's report only 25% of Kuwait's 333 companies had reported 1Q10 earnings. One suspects the delay is not due to needing a lot of time to add up the profits.
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