It’s hard to understand the “logic”
being applied by GFH’s board and management with respect to
Treasury Shares, particularly given GFH's weak state.
On
16 February 2021 GFH announced two proposals:
- The cancellation of 141,335,000 in Treasury Shares.
- The issue of 94,339,623 in new “bonus” shares.
The first proposal will
result in the cancellation of 45% of GFH’s Treasury Shares (total
value of USD 69 million). So USD
29 million.
A large amount for
a bank like GFH that has reported net income of USD 50 million the
past two years.
If
approved, the first proposal will
bring the total of shareholders money “whistled” away in Treasury
Share transactions to some USD
161 million before 2021's TS trading losses:
- USD 3 million in losses on 2017 TS sales
- USD 27 million in losses on 2018 TS sales
- USD 28 million in losses on 2019 TS sales
- USD 51 million in losses on 2019 cancellation of TS shares
- USD 23 million in losses of 2020 TS sales
- USD 29 million loss on the proposed 2021 cancellation of TS shares
Imagine
instead that GFH had not “spent” (or more appropriately
mis-spent) shareholder money on TS.
Instead
of borrowing USD 300 million at 7.5% per annum, it would only have
needed to borrow USD 140 million resulting in an annual saving on
interest of some USD 12 million a year.
An amount equal to 24%
of reported FY
2020 net income!
I’ve
argued that cancellation of TS is unlikely to have a material impact
on GFH’s share price given the relatively small percent
canceled. And that there are other less costly ways to increase the per share price of GFH.
But note those would not increase the value of GFH.
Once again via the second proposal GFH will undo what little effect
there is by issuing 94 million new bonus shares.
GFH
is a weak institution.
Low quality of earnings. Subpar ROAE. Concentration in illiquid
assets. A sub investment grade debt rating.
Poor market performance
of its stock, now trading at a P/BV ratio of 0.6X
All
this would seem to argue for a more careful stewardship by the Board
and management of the bank.
Given
all that, it
is also hard to understand how
the
CBB allowed these proposals to be put forward.
That
leaves the decision in the hands of the shareholders.
Based on the past the probability of shareholder action to reject these proposals seems low.
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