مديرنا الجديد للدعاية
Thursday, 30 July 2020
Wednesday, 29 July 2020
BMB Launches Suit Against Related Parties to Recover US$ 6.6 Million
Last Monday Bahrain Middle East Bank (BMB) confirmed the accuracy of Al Ayam newspaper report that the bank had instituted legal
proceedings against 6 Kuwaitis and 2 Egyptian Companies in the
Bahrain Center for Dispute Resolution.
The confirmation came via a public disclosure on the Bahrain Bourse website.
The
bank seeks to recover US$ 6.6 million for a “financing loan” plus
10% interest from 4 June 2016 to the date of payment plus its other
costs.
The
defendants
are the bank’s former Chairman, Mr. Wilson S. Benjamin; prior
Vice
Chairman Abdullah
Ali Khalifa Al-Sabah;
Tariq
Ibrahim Al-Faris; Majeed Mansour Al-Sarraf; Al-Sawari Holding
Company, and
Al-Fawares
Holding Company all
of Kuwait. And Egyptian
companies Lotus
Investment and Real Estate Development , And Lotus Marketing
Centers.
From
what I’ve been told in
addition to the Mr. Benjamin and Sh. Abdullah A.K. Al-Sabah—both
of whom represented Al-F on the board,
the other
defendants are also
associated
with AlFawares.
That
fact
and the amount suggests
that this
“case” may well have to do with the Installment Sales Receivable
Loan. That
loan was
a long standing related party transaction by virtue of the guarantee
given by AlF.
And
perhaps as well by other “virtues”.
You’ll
recall that in earlier posts I questioned why the guarantees hadn’t
been called on the ISRL as well as how the 2017 write off in the loan
of a major shareholder of the bank passed through auditor sign off
and CBB approval.
In
cases with Kuwaiti individuals and entities, savvy litigants know the
value of locking down assets as soon as possible.
Labels:
AlFawares,
Bahrain Middle East Bank,
BMB,
BMEB
Monday, 20 July 2020
Applying AA’s Corporate Fraud Detection Proposal to Wirecard - Part 1
AA's Hindsight is 20/20 Foresight Much Less |
This
is the first to two posts on this topic. Second post here.
In
an earlier post, I proposed two measures to enhance the detection of
corporate fraud.
This
post and the one that follows outline how it might
have been applied to Wirecard.
To
start a recap of the two points in my proposal:
- Reemphasize the auditor’s duty to identify unique material risks and vulnerabilities in a company’s business model or practices and disclose them as appropriate in the financial statements, e.g., key audit matters and/or footnotes. And as well to ensure the auditor performs the appropriate amount of audit work on these and other risks.
- Scale audit work to risk. For example, one should not confirm the existence of Euros 1.9 billion in deposits in the same way one confirms a Euro 100,000 receivable.
Before
you proceed further, it’s probably useful to take a look at my
earlier
post which details the proposal, its rationale, and more
importantly its limitations.
That
will help provide the context necessary for you to make an informed
assessment of the potential
efficacy of
my proposal.
From
that and
what follows
you will see that I’m under no illusion that this is a “perfect”
solution—one that will detect all fraud or even all major
fraud.
But
it will, I think, increase the odds of detection.
It
is a necessary but not sufficient step.
Now
to Wirecard.
Point
One: Identification and Disclosure of Significant Business Risk
It’s
pretty clear from a cursory understanding of basic accounting that
the fact that WC’s Euros 1.9 billion deposits were imaginary meant
that an equivalent amount of earnings were as well. 26
June post .
Recently
the FT
reported that a special KPMG “audit” found that Wirecard had
been loss making for years. A even more dire situation.
Let’s
assume that in their review of the company’s revenues and net
profit, WC’s then auditors (who were not KPMG) noticed that WC was
dependent on three companies for the bulk of revenues and profits.
See
FT article here for details.
At
this point, let’s assume there was no hint of fraud.
Because
of this dependence, WC faced the risk that these third-parties might
take their business to another company, leaving WC with a massive
“hole” in revenues and income.
Or
these companies might have future problems of their own which would
then impact WC.
Now
this is not something that can be dismissed with a wave of the
corporate hand. “But we work through 100 partners where we don’t
have licenses”.
The
fact is that if the business with these 3 companies didn’t exist,
WC’s revenues and net profit would be vastly different.
Under
my proposal, the auditors would have had to insist that WC disclose
this “material” reliance on third parties. The auditors would
have also had to treat this dependence as a “key audit
matter”.
The
latter would require enhanced audit measures to analyze the risks of
this dependency. For example, to determine how much discretion those
third parties had to redirect the business elsewhere, what sort of
pressures they might bring to force WC to accept reductions in
compensation, etc. What were the risks that these companies faced to
their business.
WC
no doubt would have made arguments against disclosure of this
dependency in its financials citing business confidentiality,
maintenance of a competitive advantage, etc. If the “secret” of
its third party relationships were revealed, a competitor might poach
them. And so on.
The
resulting compromise might have been something like “WC’s
historical and future profitability has been and remains critically
dependent on business flow from 3 third party firms.”
In
reviewing this relationship, the auditors should also have noticed
that these third parties had been granted access to WC funds (the
imaginary escrow accounts).
Or,
if the business reliance were not disclosed or overlooked by the
auditors, the single fact that the third parties had access to WC’s
escrow accounts should have raised further investigation on the
accounts.
An
investigation which could have led to the auditors discovering WC’s
dependence on the third parties for the bulk of revenues and
profit.
Assuming
that this more detailed work were done, then the fraud might have
been caught years earlier.
According
to information that the FT was given, at one point AlAlam owed WC an
amount roughly
equal to one year’s net income.
That
certainly qualifies as a material risk.
The
two banks that held the accounts BDO and Bank of the Philippine
Islands are the largest and third largest in the Republic of the
Philippines (ROP) by total assets.
Big
fish but small pond.
As
of 31 December 2018, BDO had total consolidated assets of US$62
billion equivalent and total shareholders’ equity of US$7 billion
equivalent. BPI’s comparable figures were US$43 billion and US$5
billion equivalent.
As
of the same date, Deutsche
Bank had roughly Euros889 billion in total assets and some
Euros55 billion in equity. Bank
of America some US$2.4 trillion in assets and US$265 billion in
equity.
Euros
1.9 billion in deposits with the Philippine banks should raise credit
risk issues as well as other more practical ones, e.g., liquidity..
To be fair an escrow/trust account structure would address some of
these.
Beyond
that is the issue of country and regulatory risk.
The
ROP is judged to have defects in its legal and financial sector
supervisory system. See the
US
Government’s 2019 INSCR issued in March 2019 (page 157 and
following) and the 2019
Asia/Pacific Group on Monetary Laundering Mutual Evaluation Report
(page 10 points 8 and 9).
Based
on the foregoing, WC was taking several significant risks with its
“arrangements” for the escrow accounts.
Recognition
of that “fact” would require that the auditors perform
additional measures to review that credit and risks.
With
respect to the three parties, that would mean an investigation of the
conditions of their access, the reasonableness of amounts that they
were permitted to access, the escrow agreement’s effective
protections, etc..
As
well, the auditors would have to review the credit exposure to the
two Philippine banks who “held” the deposits and regulatory and
credit issues related to the choice of the ROP as the “depository”
country.
That
doesn’t mean that the auditors would necessarily
determine
if the decision were the right one.
After
their review, they might note “issues” surrounding the credit
decision for public disclosure. And equally important factor these
risks into their audit plan.
At
the very minimum it would seem that the third party access—which
seems not to be a usual business practice—would warrant disclosure
by
a
sentence or two in the note to the financial statement about cash and
banks.
These
disclosure should alerted investors, analysts, other market
participants to these risks and hopefully triggered questions.
But
there’s a critical dependency. Warnings are of little utility if
they are missed for whatever reason.
However,
this “finding” should also have resulted in the auditor having
greater focus on these issues in conducting the audit. And thus
provide a back-up in the case market participants were somnolent or
in throes of irrational exuberance.
The resulting effect on audit work is very important because the auditor has access
to more information than outside parties. Thus, there is more
likelihood that the auditor will have more success in “pulling on a
loose thread” and unraveling a fraud.
In the next post, I'll look at some enhanced audit measures that the auditors could have employed.
Labels:
Auditors,
Fraud,
Fraud Detection,
Wirecard
Applying AA's Fraud Detection Proposal to Wirecard Part 2
AA is Looking Backward Not Forward |
This is the second of two posts on this topic. First post here.
Point
Two: Enhanced Audit Work
The
following outlines some possible enhanced steps auditors could
have
taken.
I
don’t know what steps the auditors took.
That
WC was able to perpetrate its fraud for so long perhaps suggests the
auditors
were not employing any of these enhanced steps or had not completed
them.
Confirmation
of the Euros 1.9 Billion Accounts
Audit
Confirmations
Given
the unusual arrangements with the escrow accounts and their Euros 1.9
billion balance, WC’s auditor should have not relied on a single
step verification – the typical bank confirmation--and probably used more than one method.
What
additional steps could WC’s auditors have taken?
First,
in view of the amounts, they could have requested two bank officer
signatures on the confirm, and specified an official title, e.g.,
“one of whom must be a Vice President in the xxx
Department”.
Second,
once the audit confirmation was returned, the auditors could have
attempted to determine that the signer(s) on the confirmation were
employees of the bank and worked in a department that would be
responsible for replying.
This
could be done by referring to the bank’s “book” of authorized
signers. This document lists officers authorized to sign, any limits
on their authority, and the departments in which they work. Often
the officers are assigned a unique identifier number in case their
penmanship rivals AA’s.
Or
by phoning the bank and telling the receptionist that they had
something important to send the signer and wanted to confirm the
appropriate department to send their letter. In this case they would
not mention that audit confirm.
If
the receptionist couldn’t find the employee’s name in the bank’s
records or responded that the individual worked in “Marketing”,
alarm bells should go off.
The
auditors could send a copy of the confirmation back to the bank
requesting that in light of the amount involved the bank reconfirm
both the information in the confirm and the authority of the
signer(s).
The
reconfirmation request should not be sent to the party or parties
signing the confirmation as received, but rather to another
department.
For
example, if the auditors received the confirm from someone in the
Trust Department, they could send the reconfirmation request to the
Trust Department Internal Audit Department. Or the bank’s Internal
Audit Department. Or to the Head of the Trust Division. And when a
billion or so Euros are involved, perhaps even the President of the
bank.
The auditing firm could have asked a senior officer of its affiliate in the ROP to assist by contacting a senior officer at the bank for a reconfirmation.
Alternative Measures
The auditors could ask the bank to send duplicates of account statements directly to them. If the bank doesn’t have an account for that customer, then it would so advise.
If it sends a statement with much lower balances, then questions would arise over the amount claimed in the account.
“So what you’re saying is that between 1 and 31 December, these accounts received Euros 1.8 billion in net credits.”
The idea with this step is that requests for duplicate statements would not reach the person within the Bank conspiring to provide false information on confirmations. One department replies to audit confirms. Another department handles “routine” requests for duplicate statements.
If the auditors were engaged in reviewing the use of WC’s accounts by the third parties to determine the amounts those parties needed access to, as my proposal suggests, they should have then they should already have requested account statements.
Transactions shown in the statements should match entries in WC’s accounts. The auditors could take a statistical sample to trace/match transactions between the two.
There are other methods.
The ones outlined here are designed to prove the existence of the account, not necessarily the balance.
If there was doubt about the veracity of the account statements, the auditors could use statistical analysis of transaction amounts and patterns to identify those that likely have been “faked”. Benford’s “Law” is one such technique but there are others.
I met a chap at a financial crimes conference (anti not pro, if you’re wondering) who claimed that using Benford’s Law he quite easily “proved” that financial statements provided for an investigation had been “cooked”.
WC’s establishment of the escrow accounts probably ostensibly to mitigate the credit risk of the two Philippine banks should have resulted in a file documenting management and board discussions, engagement of ROP counsel, correspondence on legal points, review by the board, and a legal document signed by both WC and the two banks in question.
If such a file did not exist, that should raise questions. Often those perpetrating fraud do not create the full set of “backstory” documentation to support the fraud. Or miss critical details in their backstory.
If it did, it should provide another opportunity to verify the existence of the account. Contact the bank and ask to speak to its lawyer named in the correspondence. Check to see if the person signing the agreement on behalf of the bank was in the “right” department and had the authority.
Auditors could also send a request to the bank to confirm that there had been no changes to the escrow agreement. Again if the bank replied that there was no such agreement then alarm bells would go off.
Send a small payment to the bank favour the escrow account prior to fiscal year end. If it’s returned with the notation “no account”, then alarm bells go off. If it’s not returned, it should show up in statements. If not, the bells ring again.
Look for evidence of use of the escrow accounts by WC.
A transfer funds to its main operating account would confirm the existence of the accounts, but, of course, not the balance.
The bank holding the operating account should be able to provide details of any transfer – by order party (the escrow account), originating bank (one of the two Philippine banks), and date of credit to WC’s operating account. So the auditor should not simply match amounts, but look to the transaction details. Again on a sample basis.
If WC never used any funds from the escrow accounts, that should raise questions, particularly if WC is borrowing funds to pay dividends or expenses.
Review of Third Party Companies
WC gave access to its accounts to these companies, As noted, WC therefore had a credit risk exposure to them.
The auditors should understand WC’s rationale for taking this risk and ask to see the “file”. That would include among other things WC’s credit approval policy and process, documentation of WC’s review, determination of appropriate amount of access, official approval by WC authorized officers/board, supporting documents, e.g., these companies’ audited financial statements, DNB checkings, bank references, etc..
[Side Comment: AA’s smarter, elder brother expert in many things Asian once discovered a massive fraud by reviewing DNB’s for some Asian companies that were used to execute the fraud. If we believe his account, and I can think of no reason why not to, he took all of 20 minutes to do so. For this purpose, I am ignoring his much earlier persuasion of AA that our paternal grandfather was 2,000 years old and had attended grade school with Jesus.]
If WC doesn’t have this information—specifically financials and other credit information—already, the auditors should question why WC are letting these parties have access to their accounts.PPThe auditors could also check ancillary sources of information.
As indicated by the its article referenced above and this one, the FT found some rather strange things about the companies.
Now one might respond that the FT benefited from disclosures by a whistleblower and the auditors had no such help.
But if the auditors were examining the rationale and reasonableness of these companies’ access to WC escrow accounts, then they would have come across the same opaqueness and unsettling information that the FT did.
If they had details of these companies supposed contribution to revenues and net income, they would also have had reason to dig deeper.
In “simple” 30 minute Google search on Alalam I did not turn up the sort of information one would expect for tech company on the “bleeding edge” of the “PSP space”.
What's the point with the 30 minutes here and the even shorter 20 minutes ascribed to AA's wiser, elder brother?
Simply that additional audit measures do not require massive investments in time or energy if done properly.
Nothing in Crunchbase. A rather incomplete profile at Owler, where AlAlam has but one follower.
Not much in the way of third party reporting other than regurgitation of press releases. No interviews with key persons sharing their vision or thought leadership. Sad.
AlAlam has an English language website. But it doesn’t appear to have an Arabic one. Rather strange for a company in the UAE which presumably is pitching customers in the region. Perhaps, they are on the “bleeding edge” of the marketing “space” as well and have moved beyond traditional methods of marketing.
No information on officers, directors, etc.
A laughably short company profile.
The auditing firm could have asked a senior officer of its affiliate in the ROP to assist by contacting a senior officer at the bank for a reconfirmation.
Alternative Measures
The auditors could ask the bank to send duplicates of account statements directly to them. If the bank doesn’t have an account for that customer, then it would so advise.
If it sends a statement with much lower balances, then questions would arise over the amount claimed in the account.
“So what you’re saying is that between 1 and 31 December, these accounts received Euros 1.8 billion in net credits.”
The idea with this step is that requests for duplicate statements would not reach the person within the Bank conspiring to provide false information on confirmations. One department replies to audit confirms. Another department handles “routine” requests for duplicate statements.
If the auditors were engaged in reviewing the use of WC’s accounts by the third parties to determine the amounts those parties needed access to, as my proposal suggests, they should have then they should already have requested account statements.
Transactions shown in the statements should match entries in WC’s accounts. The auditors could take a statistical sample to trace/match transactions between the two.
There are other methods.
The ones outlined here are designed to prove the existence of the account, not necessarily the balance.
If there was doubt about the veracity of the account statements, the auditors could use statistical analysis of transaction amounts and patterns to identify those that likely have been “faked”. Benford’s “Law” is one such technique but there are others.
I met a chap at a financial crimes conference (anti not pro, if you’re wondering) who claimed that using Benford’s Law he quite easily “proved” that financial statements provided for an investigation had been “cooked”.
WC’s establishment of the escrow accounts probably ostensibly to mitigate the credit risk of the two Philippine banks should have resulted in a file documenting management and board discussions, engagement of ROP counsel, correspondence on legal points, review by the board, and a legal document signed by both WC and the two banks in question.
If such a file did not exist, that should raise questions. Often those perpetrating fraud do not create the full set of “backstory” documentation to support the fraud. Or miss critical details in their backstory.
If it did, it should provide another opportunity to verify the existence of the account. Contact the bank and ask to speak to its lawyer named in the correspondence. Check to see if the person signing the agreement on behalf of the bank was in the “right” department and had the authority.
Auditors could also send a request to the bank to confirm that there had been no changes to the escrow agreement. Again if the bank replied that there was no such agreement then alarm bells would go off.
Send a small payment to the bank favour the escrow account prior to fiscal year end. If it’s returned with the notation “no account”, then alarm bells go off. If it’s not returned, it should show up in statements. If not, the bells ring again.
Look for evidence of use of the escrow accounts by WC.
A transfer funds to its main operating account would confirm the existence of the accounts, but, of course, not the balance.
The bank holding the operating account should be able to provide details of any transfer – by order party (the escrow account), originating bank (one of the two Philippine banks), and date of credit to WC’s operating account. So the auditor should not simply match amounts, but look to the transaction details. Again on a sample basis.
If WC never used any funds from the escrow accounts, that should raise questions, particularly if WC is borrowing funds to pay dividends or expenses.
Review of Third Party Companies
WC gave access to its accounts to these companies, As noted, WC therefore had a credit risk exposure to them.
The auditors should understand WC’s rationale for taking this risk and ask to see the “file”. That would include among other things WC’s credit approval policy and process, documentation of WC’s review, determination of appropriate amount of access, official approval by WC authorized officers/board, supporting documents, e.g., these companies’ audited financial statements, DNB checkings, bank references, etc..
[Side Comment: AA’s smarter, elder brother expert in many things Asian once discovered a massive fraud by reviewing DNB’s for some Asian companies that were used to execute the fraud. If we believe his account, and I can think of no reason why not to, he took all of 20 minutes to do so. For this purpose, I am ignoring his much earlier persuasion of AA that our paternal grandfather was 2,000 years old and had attended grade school with Jesus.]
If WC doesn’t have this information—specifically financials and other credit information—already, the auditors should question why WC are letting these parties have access to their accounts.PPThe auditors could also check ancillary sources of information.
As indicated by the its article referenced above and this one, the FT found some rather strange things about the companies.
Now one might respond that the FT benefited from disclosures by a whistleblower and the auditors had no such help.
But if the auditors were examining the rationale and reasonableness of these companies’ access to WC escrow accounts, then they would have come across the same opaqueness and unsettling information that the FT did.
If they had details of these companies supposed contribution to revenues and net income, they would also have had reason to dig deeper.
In “simple” 30 minute Google search on Alalam I did not turn up the sort of information one would expect for tech company on the “bleeding edge” of the “PSP space”.
What's the point with the 30 minutes here and the even shorter 20 minutes ascribed to AA's wiser, elder brother?
Simply that additional audit measures do not require massive investments in time or energy if done properly.
Nothing in Crunchbase. A rather incomplete profile at Owler, where AlAlam has but one follower.
Not much in the way of third party reporting other than regurgitation of press releases. No interviews with key persons sharing their vision or thought leadership. Sad.
AlAlam has an English language website. But it doesn’t appear to have an Arabic one. Rather strange for a company in the UAE which presumably is pitching customers in the region. Perhaps, they are on the “bleeding edge” of the marketing “space” as well and have moved beyond traditional methods of marketing.
No information on officers, directors, etc.
A laughably short company profile.
Labels:
Auditors,
Fraud,
Fraud Detection,
Wirecard
Thursday, 16 July 2020
BIS Updates its Guidelines for the Management of AML/CFT
This
month the BIS released an
update to its January 2014 publication “Guidelines: Sound
management of risks related to money laundering and financing of
terrorism.“
The updates focus on the need for increased
communication/interaction and co-operation between a
nation’s
financial institution supervisory agency (prudential supervision) and
other domestic
national
agencies charged with anti-money laundering and countering the
financing of terrorism.
As well the BIS advocates similar
cross-border
interaction and cooperation.
It’s important to note once again
that the BIS does not have the authority to force countries to accept
its guidelines. It does not legislate, it recommends.
Individual
countries may accept or reject BIS guidance in full or in part. And
are free to set the details of how a principle they accept will be
applied.
That being said, it is rare that countries reject BIS
suggestions in toto.
What are the changes?
The addition of
paragraph 96 to the main body of the guidelines and a new Annex 5
outlining best practices.
Paragraph 96 sums up the BIS’s
intent.
“Prudential and AML/CFT supervisors should establish an effective cooperation mechanism regardless of the institutional setting, as set out in Annex 5, to ensure that ML/FT risks are adequately supervised in the domestic and cross-jurisdictional context for the benefit of the two functions.“
Annex 5 contains
what I’d consider some rather self-evident points. But many
regulations do state what is obvious. And that’s done for good
reasons.
License Authorization
- Prudential Supervisors should consult with AML/CFT supervisors to identify any AML/CFT risks posed by the bank’s proposed business model for a new bank or such risks for an existing foreign bank seeking a license in its jurisdiction.
- They should also consider the bank’s AML/CFT policies and procedures, risk management structure and risk mitigation systems.
Assessment of Major Shareholders, Acquisitions,
and Major Holdings
- Similar to the above with a focus on how these affect the proposed licensee’s AML/CFT risk as well as cases when new shareholders are proposed.
- Part of this assessment is a review of the history of the proposed major shareholders, acquisitions, and major holdings for evidence of AML/CFT risks, vulnerabilities or transgressions.
- This assessment requires cross border interchange and co-operation to obtain information from other national regulatory agencies.
International Co-Operation
- This can be established via bi-lateral agreements (MoUs) for exchange or “prudential colleges” where a group of supervisory or regulatory agencies agree to exchange information. Link to information on EU “prudential college”.
- The FATF has published guidelines on the exchange of AML/CFT information both domestically and internationally. Last update in 2017.PP
Labels:
BIS,
Money laundering,
Terrorism Finance
Tuesday, 14 July 2020
Friday, 10 July 2020
Corporate Fraud Part 2 -- An Alternative Proposal for Enchancing Detection
Abu Arqala Publishes His Proposal |
In
the previous
post, I expressed some concerns about a proposal to combat
corporate fraud.
Saying
that a particular solution seems unworkable or
difficult to implement
isn’t really of much utility.
Don’t
tell me what can’t be done. Tell me what
can.
The
point is to outline a possible solution.
What
then is AA’s alternative? What is to be done?
To
start we have to accept that just as with corporate misgovernance
there is no financial equivalent of hydroxychloroquine that is a sure
cure.
Because
fraud is not just equivalent of a bad “flu”, financial or
otherwise, and won't just go away in July or some other month, we do have to take
action.
To
that end I offer this alternative proposal which seeks to use existing structures to enhance current risk disclosures
and promote risk-based
auditing.
A
key goal is turning auditors’ attention and action away
from what appears to be a sole
focus
on policies, internal processes and controls, and pieces of
paper.
As
the old joke goes, if it isn’t written down, it doesn’t exist for
an auditor.
The
real risk with that mentality is the converse.
If
an auditor has a piece of paper—a confirmation, a copy of a
contract, etc.--the existence of an asset or liability or a business
relationship is a proven fact.
The
steps I’m proposing would not mean that auditors would abandon
examining
adherence to financial reporting and accounting standards, reviewing
internal controls and processes for adequacy, nor performing many
paper based audit activities, including confirmations, nor issuing
opinions on those matters.
Because the majority of companies do not engage in major fraud, that
current audit work provides needed information to a wide range of
third parties, e.g. shareholders, other investors, lenders, business
partners, etc. And so it should continue.
If
a company is fraud free, an investor is still going to want to know if
the company is following accepted accounting principles, has proper
accounting systems and internal controls, has documentary evidence to
back up transactions, etc. That it uses reasonable assumptions when
valuing hard-to-value assets.
One
doesn’t want to invest one’s money with or make a loan to an
honest but incompetent or disorganized company.
So
my proposals are designed to leave those aspects of auditing in place
but enhance the extent of auditors’ work.
First, emphasize
the need for
auditors to
identify if
the company has any serious
or
unusual risks
in its
business
model or practices, including unusual vulnerabilities.
If
such risks are found, require
that they
are
disclosed in a clear form in a company’s audited financial
statements.
When
those risks are pose
substantial
or
unusual
vulnerabilities,
auditors should include these in the “key audit matters” section
of their audit opinion. That would require that they discuss the
existence and materiality of such “matters”; describe the
additional audit work they have performed to address them; and their
resulting assessment on that matter.
If
they don’t reach the level of a “key audit matter”, they should
be noted and addressed/focused on in the audit plan.
The
goal is not to come up with a laundry list of every potential
risk factor similar to a bond or stock offering memorandum which is
primarily a CYA or more accurately a CYLE (cover your legal exposure)
exercise for the underwriting/offering banks and the issuer.
All
business are subject to a variety of risks.
The point is to identify those
risks or vulnerabilities that are not obvious and have a material
impact.
This will become clearer in the post to follow where I
outline this “point” applied in actual cases or hypothesize how
it might have been applied at Wirecard or Hin Leong
Trading.
Second,
require that auditing procedures be scaled to risk of an individual
asset, liability, etc.
For example, one should not use the same
method to verify bank deposits
of Euros
1.9
billion that one uses to confirm a USD 100,000 receivable.
What
are these two principles designed to achieve?
The
first
is designed to alert market participants, lenders, and regulators of
vulnerabilities and dependencies that could have a material affect on
the company’s health. To raise a red flag.
That's important because fighting
fraud is not the sole job of one group any more than corporate
governance is.
What that means is that for this aspect of point one to work someone out there has to be "listening". If the "flag" is missed, the chances of uncovering the fraud decrease.
What that means is that for this aspect of point one to work someone out there has to be "listening". If the "flag" is missed, the chances of uncovering the fraud decrease.
It
is also intended to cause the auditor to focus on a class of risks
that seem often to be overlooked at least in some cases.
That serves as the "back-up" if no one is listening.
That serves as the "back-up" if no one is listening.
Auditors
are already required to assess a company’s risks and then develop a
specific audit plan of work to ensure appropriate audit work is done
on these areas. So this is a reminder with emphasis of this existing requirement.
But
if they don’t focus on this latter class of risks, there is a real
danger—as perhaps evidenced by some recent fraud cases—that they
will not undertake the work they should have to address these
issues.
The
second
is designed to "force" auditors to scale audit work to risks.
What’s
the relation to fraud?
As
I noted in an earlier post, many
but not all
types of fraud necessarily require the overstatement of assets.
We’re
most concerned with major frauds that threaten the viability of a
company that is the reason for risk based scaling of audit work.
At
first blush, this may sound like a good proposal. Or at least that's what I tell myself.
But
it is not a panacea. There are no 100% solutions.
Why?
As
to reliance on large numbers of market participants reacting to alerts (the first
point), if you’ve read this blog before, you know I have little
faith in the mythology of efficient markets.
Not
no
faith.
Just
a slight bit more than I have in the “Power Ponies”.
Admittedly,
I’m banking on a very small number of market participants to read,
understand, and then take action on any red flags raised by
disclosure of these sort of business risks.
That being said, just a few persistent sharp investigative (but probably underpaid) journalists at the FT played a major role in uncovering NMC and Wirecard
.
But, the effectiveness of this point doesn't just rely on those sort of market participants.
Widening auditors' risk focus and thus getting them to adjust their audit focus and work should also contribute to detection, particularly because they have access to detailed company financial information that other market participants don't.
But
neither of these two intended goals will result in fraud detection
all the time.
That’s
the reason for the second point.
That’s why it’s in some
respects more important than the first.
Enhanced
audit work. Moving beyond the tick-the-box approach to one that is
based on risk. The more risk the more work required.
Why
is that important?
As
I’ve argued,
“fiddling” with the income statement requires “fiddling” with
the balance sheet pretty much dollar for dollar.
Major fraud requires major fiddling.
If
audit procedures disclose that assets are overvalued or non existent,
it’s very good sign that the income statement has been overstated
and income is non existent. And vice versa.
There
are other cases of fraud that might be detected by enhanced audit
work to confirm the existence of an asset or its carrying
value.
Some
examples.
Knowingly
exchanging one asset for another of lesser or of no value.
Or,
as happened at Hin Leong Trading, selling inventory without
recognizing the sale in the accounts.
Failure
to recognize the financial impact of a “good” transaction that
has gone bad. A receivable associated with a legitimate sale turns
out to be uncollectable. An asset purchased in good faith goes
“south”. But there is no charge to the income statement or to
equity.
Harder
to detect frauds would be inflating expenses to take cash out of the
firm. For example, overpaying for goods or services actually
received. Or paying for non existent services.
Note in the second
part of the previous sentence I’ve eliminated “goods”. It’s much
easier to determine that an asset doesn’t exist, than it is that a
service wasn’t performed. Or performed in full.
Enhanced
audit procedures should lead to discovery of some and perhaps even
many of those frauds, primarily those likely to have a material
adverse impact on the company.
Smaller amount items are likely to
remain undetected.
All
well and good, you might say. But what about other cases of fraud
like NMC where billions of US dollars in liabilities were not
recorded in the financials.
Indeed.
These
are extremely difficult to detect.
The
“first line” of defense is the auditor’s confirm from lenders
or providers of funds. This is not ironclad because auditors do not
send confirms for each and every loan or other asset of the lender.
If clever people are perpetrating the fraud, they may arrange a fraudulent reply to the confirms.
One might hope that as part of annual credit reviews, lenders and other providers of funds look to see if their debt is reflected in the borrower's financials. They have the details that generally should enable them to identify their debt, e.g., rate, tenor, currency in the absence of their name in the financials.
Banking on "hope" is a endeavor with limited probabilities of success.
Other difficult to detect frauds involve hard-to-value assets, e.g., non listed
investments, or real estate.
Slight changes in assumptions can
result in large changes in value. If stock analysts have trouble
accurately valuing listed securities, it’s unlikely that
accountants or even forensic accountants will fare better.
Enhanced
audit work (my second point) does not provide an airtight solution.
It does, however, raise the odds of detection.
That
means that at best my proposal will not
detect all fraud, but it might result in more fraud being
detected than currently.
In
a post to follow, I’ll detail how both steps have been applied and might have been
applied at Wirecard and Hin Leong. The latter by drawing on my legendary powers of 20/20 hindsight.
Labels:
Auditors,
Financial Times,
Fraud,
FT,
Hin Leong Trading,
Wirecard,
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