Thursday, September 30, 2010

Reuters: How Dubai Got Serious?

An interesting report from Reuters:  How Dubai Got Serious.

A deliberate choice of headline?  Or perhaps an unintended indication that at one point Dubai was not serious?

To whet your appetite some quotes.  My comments follow each quote.
The auditors' task is to investigate exactly where the money went, who lined whose pockets, and what other financial landmines might lie in store. Forensic audits at state-linked firms, such as Dubai Holding, are part of a wider corruption probe that has targeted senior figures from Dubai's boom years.
Lots of commissions to track down to say nothing of more simple misappropriations.
Abu Dhabi's ascendancy began in the wake of 2008's global credit crunch. Reports about debt trouble in Dubai's flagship companies had been circulating within government from as early as 2005, though most people seemed happy to ignore them. In 2008, the end of a six-year oil-fueled boom burst Dubai's real estate bubble while the global financial crisis left the emirate unable to refinance looming debt obligations.
Lenders merrily rolling over loans and pretending everything was OK.
 "The announcement was a disaster for Dubai. They were told 'don't worry, Argentina has done this, Venezuela has done it. People forget and they start lending again.' But what they didn't take into account was that those are real economies. This is not a country.
Ouch!  But right on target.  Not a country in several ways. 
"Nakheel's books were so screwed up it wasn't even funny."
"No-one knew the magnitude of what was owed, then the complexity of it," the former adviser to Dubai World says. "A lack of experience -- and ego -- made it hard to admit defeat."
And still make it so for the "Dubai's back" crowd.
Almost two-thirds of Dubai World's debt is held by six banks, four of them British: HSBC, Lloyds, Royal Bank of Scotland, Standard Chartered, and local lenders Emirates NBD and Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank.
Another great moment in banking!  There's no fool like and old fool.  And then there are bankers.
"They believe that now the problem is solved," says the former Dubai World adviser, who is critical of creeping complacency just a year after the crisis. "The problem is not solved, they still owe the same amount of money. They will have to pay the same amount, only a little later."
See above "We're back".

1 comment:

Laocowboy2 said...

But have they really got serious? I have my doubts.